NFL Week 4 odds picks Cowboys cover vs. Panthers Tom Brady downs Bill Belichick

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One great week, one terrible week and one average week. We have covered all of our bases through three weeks of action. I'm glad I laid the points with the and as my best bets, but I discovered I'm overrating both the and . I went 12-4 picking winners straight up, including three upsets I was pretty confident on.This week features some incredible matchups. We will get to find out if the are for real, as they face their first half-decent opponent in the , and then of course we get vs. Bill Belichick. Will this game be close, or will Brady drop 50 in his return to Foxboro? I'm not exactly sure, but I do know everyone will be watching.Top five picks record: 8-7Overall ATS record: 24-24Straight up record: 29-192020 ATS record: 125-120-9(2 official picks mi sed due to COVID rescheduling)Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Philadelphia Eagles +7 Andy Reid returns to Philly this week. Reid went 130-93-1 with the Eagles and is the winningest coach in franchise history with more than twice as many wins as any other coach. If he wins on Sunday, he will become the first coach in NFL history to win 100 games with two different teams. It' Jamien Sherwood Jersey s wild that the Chiefs are in last place in the AFC West right now. This is the first time they've been under .500 since Week 10 in 2015. After a divisional lo s, you know and Co. have to be more motivated than ever, and they have a chance to take out some frustration against a flailing Eagles team. The defense is improved, but the Eagles offense did not look good on Monday night. Philly's first touchdown was scored by the defense and the last score was a garbage-time touchdown that didn't mean anything. The Chiefs are 0-3 against the spread this season, but they have faced three good teams. This could be a spot for the Chiefs Vinny Curry Jersey to regroup with a big road win. People may be tempted to buy half a point, but it might not be nece sary.The pick:Chiefs -7Projected score:Chiefs 28-20Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: New York Jets +5.5 Are you ready for the wild stat of the week? Seriously, CBS Sports research gave us this stat and I didn't believe them so I went back through game logs to double check. Jets rookie quarterback has struggled through his first few NFL games -- especially in the first quarter. He's completed just 2 of 11 pa ses for 18 yards and thrown two interceptions in first quarters this season. Two completions and two picks in three first quarters!Now, I want to put it out there that Wilson's struggles aren't all his fault. He's been pre sured on 47 percent of his dropbacks -- which ranks third-most in the league -- and has been sacked more than any other quarterback (15 times). The Jets are 0-3 against the spread and just lost their best defender in for a few weeks due to an ankle injury. Nothing is going right for the Jets, as they have scored just six points over the last two games. Now, they host a Titans team that has won two straight and has a defense that's getting better. It's worth noting that the Titans starting wide receivers or this weekend. I really don't care. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and were the receivers who caught touchdowns last weekend and they looked fine. Tenne see still has and . I say they cover. The Jets are 6-13 against the spread since the start of last season and 18-32-1 against the spread since the start of 2018. Both are worst in the NFL.The pick:Titans -7Projected score:Titans 26-16Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX) Latest Odds: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 Two teams undefeated against the spread enter AT&T Stadium on Sunday, and only one will leave 4-0. The Panthers haven't lost a game through three Dan Feeney Jersey weeks, but they faced two terrible teams and then one that was mi sing several coaches due to COVID-19 and had a couple important players out due to injury. The Panthers have the No. 1 defense in the NFL, but how legitimate are they? We will find out on Sunday, as this Cowboys offense can attack through the air or on the ground. In fact, they are the first offense since the 1984 to record an 80 percent completion rate and 150-plus rushing yards in consecutive games.The Panthers had a long week to prepare for this matchup, but they won't have star running back . He's the most important player for Carolina's offense, so it will be up to to weather this defense which leads the NFL with eight takeaways. Carolina also has four defensive backs on IR now, so and Co. could be set for a big day. I'm not ready to say the Cowboys are Super Bowl contenders, but I like this spot for them at home with momentum -- even if it's on a short week. The pick:Cowboys -4.5Projected score:Cowboys 30-23Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Latest Odds: Green Bay Packers -6 Remember how hot the Steelers started last year and then how they faded at the end of the season? It feels like we are seeing that again -- except it's happening way sooner. looked old against the last week. The defense didn't look good either, as a serted his will against the Steelers front seven and ran wild in the secondary. got back on track in the second half of Week 2 against the , and while the defense let up against the 49ers a bit last week, Rodgers came in and finished the job. The Packers are 2-0 against the spread over the last two weeks and they will improve to 3-0 on Sunday. Too much firepower, and the Packers are at home.The pick:Packers -6.5Projected score:Packers 28-21Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Latest Odds: New England Patriots +6.5 Here we go, the game of the week. You know Tom Brady wants to drop 100 points on Bill Belichick's head, but I would imagine Belichick has some surprises for him defensively. No one knows Brady better as a player than Belichick does -- his strengths and his weakne ses. Still, this Buccaneers team is just better than the Patriots.Another reason I'm high on the Bucs in this matchup is because they lost to the last week. That has to motivate Brady even more, and the stats back it up. The Bucs went 5-0 against the spread following a lo s last season, and four of those matchups were double-digit wins. The pick:Buccaneers -7Projected score:Buccaneers 30-20Bengals (-7.5) 30-20 over (-7.5) 28-20 over (-16.5) 30-10 over (-3) 24-20 over Lions (-2) 28-24 over (+2) 21-17 over Washington (-1.5) 27-25 over Rams 30-27 over (+4.5)Seahawks (+2.5) 30-26 over 49ersBroncos (-1) 26-24 over Ravens (-3) 31-23 over Which picks can you Garrett Wilson Jersey make with confidence this week, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? .
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